La Cina comunque non è Cuba
Non abbiamo una sfera di cristallo per predire il futuro con certezza. A maggior ragione, è difficile prevedere gli sviluppi della scienza e della tecnologia, data la loro natura intrinsecamente caratterizzata da un alto grado di “serendipità”. Ma certamente i rapporti di forza complessivi tra USA e Cina, anche tenendo conto delle rispettive sfere di influenza, sono ben diversi da quelli tra USA e Cuba e anche da quelli che prevalevano tra USA e URSS durante la prima guerra fredda.
Riferimenti
– Congressional Research Service 2022, Global Research and Development Expenditures: Fact Sheet Updated September 14, 2022: https://www.oecd.org/sti/msti-highlights-march-2021.pdf.
– Gabriele A., 2020, Enterprises, Industry and Innovation in the People’s Republic of China: Questioning Socialism from Deng to the Trade and Tech War , Springer.
– Gabriele A. e Jabbour E., 2022, Socialist Economic Development In The XXth Century – Challenges One Century After The Bolshevik Revolution (with E. Jabbour), Giappichelli and Routledge, 2022.
– Inkster N., 2022,in Ask the Experts: Is China’s Semiconductor Strategy Working? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/cff/2022/09/01/is-chinas-semiconductor-strategy-working/.
– Lee J., 2022, in Ask the Experts: Is China’s Semiconductor Strategy Working? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/cff/2022/09/01/is-chinas-semiconductor-strategy-working/.
– Krugman2022, When Trade Becomes a Weapon, New York Times, Oct. 13, 2022.
– OECD 2021, Main Science and Technology Indicators Highlights on R&D expenditure, March 2021.
– OECD 2022, Main Science and Technology Indicators Highlights on R&D expenditure, March 2022.
– State Council 2022, China rises in global innovation rankings, in http://english.www.gov.cn/policies/infographics/202210/01/content_WS63379c88c6d0a757729e0c95.html.
– Weinstein E.S., 2022, in Ask the Experts: Is China’s Semiconductor Strategy Working? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/cff/2022/09/01/is-chinas-semiconductor-strategy-working/
– WIPO 2022, Global Innovation Index 2022, https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo-pub-2000-2022-section3-en-gii-2022-results-global-innovation-index-2022-15th-edition.pdf
– Xinhua 2022, China’s R&D spending intensity builds up in 2021: statistics, in https://english.news.cn/20220901/23f4faf049044f88ae1e25dff4332e50/c.html#:~:text=In%202021%2C%20China%20invested%202.8,in%202021%20released%20on%20Wednesday.